Fed Begins Meeting. But Bitcoin!

The Federal Open Market Committee begins its final meeting of 2017 today. With the special election in Alabama and Bitcoin, does anyone really care about the Fed? For today, the stock market certainly doesn’t! With the Fed announcement that short-term interest rates are going up by .25% tomorrow at 2 pm, the market usually has a quiet day today with a slight edge to the bulls. More new closing highs in the Dow and S&P 500 but the same divergence in the S&P 400, Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100. So much for the mild seasonal headwind so far.

Of my four key sectors, only semis continue to concern me. The others remain strong. Most of the secondary sectors are behaving just fine as well. High yield bonds are lagging, but they are not rolling over, at least not yet. The NYSE A/D Line continues to score all-time highs. The bull market remains alive and reasonably well my broken record theme of buying any and all weakness remains in place.

Bitcoin continues to be all the rage. Friends, clients, media, Uber drivers, barbers. They all want to know how to buy it. I will be writing an article about it before the holidays. So glad I mortgaged my house and put everything in Bitcoin at $50… 🙂

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Decisive Breakout in Stocks but Bitcoin…

First, it seems like all of the talk lately and this week is about Bitcoin and the crypto sector. Do you care?

Regardless,, will you take 10 seconds to answer three short questions?

TAKE SURVEY

With post-Thanksgiving being slightly seasonally weak, Tuesday’s action was a pleasant surprise for the bulls. Yesterday, I mentioned that while there were a number of very short-term crosscurrents, the intermediate-term remained positive. Four of the five major indices saw decisive and significant breakouts to new highs while the NASDAQ 100 lagged behind and seems to be in for a short-term struggle.

Last week, I briefly spoke about how the semis looked tired if I had to nitpick. That remains the case. Banks had a huge up day and are poised for new highs sooner than later, really good sign for the bull market. Discretionary continued its blistering run while the transports are not only playing catch up, but leading as well. Mostly very good news for the bulls.

High yield bonds have bounced back smartly from their two week drubbing, but they need to step up even more heading into year-end.

The NYSE A/D Line is back to new highs after so many pundits used the modest November pullback as ammunition to call for a correction or end of the bull market. When these jokesters finally avow the bull market after 8+ years of being perennially wrong, we will all know to watch out for a bear market!

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